Monthly Archives: March 2013

Update for March 24 storm: Cold, wet, and white

This much we know: Sunday and Monday are not nice days. Precipitation will spread southwest to northeast across the viewing area during Sunday morning, and we expect about 70-80% of the storm total precipitation to come down during the daylight … Continue reading

Posted in Forecast Discussions, Weather Communications | 1 Comment

Another wintry issue

Quick update on the storm system expected to affect us Sunday and Monday… Timing still looks like Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. Regarding snowfall on the ground, there have been a couple of important trends in the last 24 hours. … Continue reading

Posted in Forecast Discussions, Weather Communications

The Fallacy of Spring

It happens every year. The spring equinox comes in middle to late March and there is a collective sigh of relief: Winter is over! Invariably, there are cold spells at the end of March, through April, and occasionally, into May.  And … Continue reading

Posted in Sociology, Weather Communications | 2 Comments

Snowstorm Forecasting and the Light Down the Road

Why even mention the possibility of snow 6 days out?  Someone out there in cyberspace is going to bring it up. Light a match, start a rumor, throw up a piece of weather data.  The public wants to know. When … Continue reading

Posted in Sociology, Weather Communications | 5 Comments

March Snow Post Mortem and The Great Expectations

As I have mentioned previously, there are some people I cannot reach.  People who have made up their minds about weather, media, hype, and me.  We have reached an age where everyone appears entitled to their own truth.  If you … Continue reading

Posted in Sociology, Weather Communications | Tagged | 7 Comments

Late night

Been watching the evening data come in (GFS and NAM), and now getting increasingly worried that this thing goes belly up south of US460.  Not zero, but feel that it is time to pull back a little bit from the … Continue reading

Posted in Forecast Discussions, Weather Communications

Monday Afternoon Update on the March 6 Storm

Most of the numerical simulations are tightening up the gradient in snowfall from north to south across the viewing area.  It is not difficult to make an argument that Southside Virginia gets nothing… and that Greater Lynchburg only gets about … Continue reading

Posted in Forecast Discussions, Weather Communications