Monday mix potential

Locally, although temperatures will spike into the 60s on Sunday, a dramatic change follows on Monday.

The storm that is coming on to the California coast late Friday will cross the country this weekend, and begin to affect most of the Middle Atlantic and the Northeast Sunday night through Monday night.

For Greater Lynchburg, the precipitation is expected to start as rain a few hours before daybreak Monday.  After the warm afternoon on Sunday, temperatures most of Sunday night will hold in the 50s.

But after sunrise Monday, winds will turn sharply from the north, and there will be a dramatic temperature drop into the lower 30s by early afternoon.  Most of the precipitation will have edged to the east by then, but there will likely be a brief (1-2 hour) spell of ice or snow before everything ends by dusk Monday.  At this time, accumulations are not expected, so travel is not expected to be substantially impacted.

However, the change in amounts of precipitation and the type of precipitation will be dramatic a few hundred miles to the north.

Closer by, just north of Lynchburg, into Amherst, Nelson, and Rockbridge Counties, there may be a modest accumulation of ice… or perhaps snow… but less than an inch of any slushy accumulation.

In the area from I-64 northward toward Madison and Culpeper… eastward toward Fredericksburg, accumulating ice is more of a concern.  With scattered downed trees and powerlines to follow.

Northward along I-66, ice transitions to snow very quickly, with accumulating snow and sleet expected of at least a few inches.

Northward further into Maryland and Pennsylvania, and westward into Ohio and northern West Virginia, heavy snow is expected, with 6″+ very common in those locations.

South of Lynchburg and US460, nearly all precipitation will be in the form of rain.

To repeat, this is only an outlook.  As of Friday evening, the storm is coming onto the California coastline. Expect modifications in the forecast in the coming 48 hours from all weather forecasting outlets, as small changes in track and temperature forecasts play large roles in the intensity and type of precipitation that falls between Sunday night and Monday night.

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About seansublette

Meteorologist at Climate Central. Broadcast meteorologist in Virginia from 1995 to 2015. Born and raised in Richmond, VA. Penn State alumnus. Loves baseball and the rock band Rush. Views are independent of my employer. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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